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TURNING POINT

机译:转折点

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摘要

Actor, director and activist Christopher Reeve said in a 1996 speech, "So many of our dreams at first seem impossible, then they seem improbable, and then, when we summon the will, they soon become inevitable." This is an appropriate description of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft development over the past decade. When VFS began its engagement with the nascent community of eVTOL developers in 2013, most people considered it impossible. Much progress was made in the subsequent years, but by 2019, the list of "simultaneous miracles" necessary to overcome -including technology development, infrastructure build-out, pilot availability/training and lack of a regulatory framework - made companies' aggressive timelines for urban air mobility (UAM) air taxi operations seem highly improbable (see "Commentary: Capitalizing on the Miraculous eVTOL Gold Rush," Vertiflite, March/ April 2021). In addition, the need for roughly $1B of development funding for each aircraft to reach certification was seen as a fundamental barrier to success.
机译:演员,主任和活动家克里斯托弗里夫在1996年的演讲中说:“我们起初很多梦想似乎是不可能的,那么他们似乎是不可能的,然后,当我们召唤意志时,他们很快就会变得不可避免。”这是过去十年中电动垂直起飞和着陆(EVTOL)飞机发展的适当描述。当VFS于2013年开始与Evtol开发商的新生社区接触时,大多数人认为这是不可能的。在随后的几年中取得了很大的进展,但到2019年,克服技术开发所必需的“同时奇迹”列表,基础设施建设,试点可用性/培训和缺乏监管框架 - 使公司的侵略性时间城市空运(UAM)Air Taxi业务似乎非常不可能(见“评论:资本化奇迹evtol Gold Rush,”Prestiflite,3月2021年3月)。此外,对每架飞机的大约1B大约1亿美元的开发资金被视为成功的基本障碍。

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  • 来源
    《Vertiflite》 |2021年第4期|66-72|共7页
  • 作者

    Mike Hirschberg;

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