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An expert outlook on water security and water for energy trends to 2030-2050

机译：到2030-2050年的水安全和能源用水趋势的专家观点

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摘要

The water-energy nexus has increasingly been recognized as one of the key factors underlying the sustainability and security of future water and energy supply. An improved understanding of this issue is required to guide political decision-making on the choice of technologies that can better lead towards water-energy efficient scenarios. One of the biggest challenges relies on the reduction of uncertainties over selected variables, and the analysis of trends and interrelations that may have an impact on the future of water and energy security. This paper presents the results of a Delphi study on prospective and future trends of the water-energy nexus and energy technologies. Based on the opinion and contributions of experts on the topic from different backgrounds, institutions and disciplines, the results indicate the importance of technology innovation and transfer as the main conditioning factors to achieve energy and water security. In terms of energy, biofuels and shale gas are perceived to have the highest potential impacts on water quantity and especially on water quality. Thus their evolution will be influential for future water and environmental security. Biofuels in particular, together with the rising demands for food, have the highest prospects for an increase in agricultural water withdrawals.
机译：水能联系已被越来越多地视为未来水和能源供应的可持续性和安全性的关键因素之一。需要对该问题有更好的了解，以指导政治决策，以选择能够更好地实现节水节能方案的技术。最大的挑战之一是减少选定变量的不确定性，以及对可能影响水和能源安全未来的趋势和相关性进行分析。本文介绍了德尔菲研究的结果，该研究涉及水能源关系和能源技术的未来趋势。根据来自不同背景，机构和学科的专家的意见和贡献，研究结果表明技术创新和转让是实现能源和水安全的主要条件。就能源而言，生物燃料和页岩气被认为对水量特别是水质具有最大的潜在影响。因此，它们的演变将对未来的水和环境安全产生影响。特别是生物燃料，再加上对食物的需求增加，具有增加农业取水量的最高前景。

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  • 来源
    《Water Policy》 |2016年第1期|1-18|共18页
  • 作者

    Mayor Beatriz; Rodriguez Casado R.; Landeta J.; Lopez-Gunn E.; Villarroya F.;

  • 作者单位

    Univ Complutense Madrid, Geodynam Dept, Geol Fac, 5th Floor,Room 14,Calle Jose Antonio Novais 2, E-28040 Madrid, Spain;

    Univ Complutense Madrid, Geodynam Dept, Geol Fac, 5th Floor,Room 14,Calle Jose Antonio Novais 2, E-28040 Madrid, Spain;

    Univ Pais Vasco UPV EHU, Business Appl Econ Inst, Avda Lehendakari Aguirre 83, Bilbao 48015, Spain;

    Univ Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England|ICATALIST, Calle Borni 20, Las Rozas 28232, Madrid, Spain;

    Univ Complutense Madrid, Geodynam Dept, Geol Fac, 5th Floor,Room 14,Calle Jose Antonio Novais 2, E-28040 Madrid, Spain;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Delphi methodology; Nexus trends; Prospective; Uncertainties; Water-energy security;

    机译：德尔菲方法论;联系趋势;前瞻性;不确定性;水能源安全;

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