...
首页> 外文期刊>Water Policy >China: The South-North Water Transfer Project―is it justified?
【24h】

China: The South-North Water Transfer Project―is it justified?

机译:中国:南水北调工程-是否合理?

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           

摘要

The South-North Water Transfer Project (SNWTP), if fully developed, could divert 40-50 km~3/yr from the Yangtse basin to the North China plain, alleviating water scarcity for 300-325M people living in what even then will be a highly water-stressed region. Construction of the next stage, diverting up to 20 km~3 at a cost of about $17,000M (including $7000M in ancillary costs), is to start in 2002/3. A recent World Bank study suggests that the project is economically attractive. This conclusion has been disputed by the World Wildlife Fund (now the Worldwide Fund for Nature). This paper concludes that little confidence can be placed in either of these analyses. It therefore seeks to throw light on how the project fits within a broader regional and agricultural development setting. The project is hugely expensive, and would at the margin tend to preserve water in low value agriculture and require the resettlement of upwards of 300,000 people. On the other hand, the pace and scale of socio-economic change in China are without precedent, and adjustment problems on the North China plain are greatly exacerbated by water scarcity. Reallocation of water from irrigation to municipal and industrial uses or to the environment is socially divisive and in some instances physically impracticable. The transfer project would greatly alleviate these difficulties. It is these arguments (which are ultimately political and pragmatic), rather than those based strictly on economic or food security concerns, that make the Government's decision to proceed with the project fully understandable.
机译:如果南水北调工程(SNWTP)得到全面发展,则可以将长江流域的40-50 km〜3 / yr的水分流到华北平原,从而减轻300-3.25亿人口的水资源短缺缺水的地区。下一阶段的建设将于2002/3年开始,分流20 km〜3,耗资约170亿美元(包括70亿美元的辅助成本)。世界银行最近的一项研究表明,该项目在经济上具有吸引力。世界野生动物基金会(现世界自然基金会)对此结论提出了质疑。本文得出的结论是,在任何一种分析中都没有置信度。因此,它试图阐明该项目如何适应更广泛的区域和农业发展环境。该项目非常昂贵,将在边缘上倾向于在低价值农业中保护水源,并需要重新安置300,000多人。另一方面,中国社会经济变化的速度和规模是没有先例的,水资源短缺严重加剧了华北平原的调整问题。将灌溉用水重新分配到市政和工业用途或环境中,这在社会上是分裂的,在某些情况下在物理上是不可行的。转移项目将大大减轻这些困难。正是这些论点(最终是政治和务实的),而不是仅仅基于经济或粮食安全问题的论点,才使政府决定继续进行该项目的决定是完全可以理解的。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号