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Development of a factorial water policy simulation approach from production and consumption perspectives

机译:从生产和消费观点的阶乘水政策仿真方法的发展

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摘要

Industrial water-management policies are prevalent around the world to alleviate global water scarcity. It is indispensable to simulate the effects of different water-management policies on various industries in the socioeconomic system to explore the most effective water consumption reduction pathways. In this study, a factorial water policy simulation model is developed to investigate the composite effects of multidimensional interactive water-management policies from both production and consumption perspectives. Structural path analysis and factorial analysis are introduced simultaneously to help support policy formulation according to local reality and further examine the impacts of the main factors and their interactions respectively. The developed model has been applied to the Municipality of Chongqing, China to demonstrate the applicability and superiority of the factorial water policy simulation model. It was found that the impacts of industrial technology upgrade policies on different industries vary significantly. The consumption-orientation policies have a similar performance on direct water consumption reductions. In the Municipality of Chongqing, industrial technology upgrade policies applied to the primary industry will generate larger reductions of water consumption (i.e., 10.1 units reduction of total water consumption) in the system since the primary industry can influence other industries through intermediate utilization. The contribution of interactions for the reductions of direct water consumption was 10.38%, where policies implemented on the primary industry and construction industry have the most significant interaction. In addition, the industry of production and supply of water is closely related to most of the industries since its technical improved can reduce the indirect water consumption of the majority of industries. The results provide bases for supporting the Municipality's effort s in f ormulating desired water-management policies.(c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:工业水管理政策普遍存在世界各地,以减轻全球水资源稀缺。模拟不同水管理政策对社会经济系统各行业的影响是不可或缺的,以探索最有效的耗水途径。在这项研究中,开发了一种阶乘水政策仿真模型,以研究多维互动水管理政策从生产和消费观点的复合效果。同时引入结构路径分析和因子分析,以帮助根据当地现实支持政策制定,进一步检查主要因素及其相互作用的影响。开发模式已应用于中国重庆市,以展示阶乘水政策仿真模型的适用性和优越性。有人发现,工业技术升级政策对不同行业的影响显着变化。消费定向政策在直接用水量减少方面具有类似的性能。在重庆市政府,应用于主要行业的工业技术升级政策将产生更大的水消耗减少(即,10.1单位降低总用水量的总耗水量),因为主要行业可以通过中间利用率影响其他行业。互动的互动的贡献为直接用水量的减少为10.38%,在主要行业和建筑业实施的政策具有最大的互动。此外,生产和供应水的行业与大多数行业密切相关,因为其技术改善可以减少大多数行业的间接耗水量。结果为支持市政府在F ormulate所需的水管理政策中的努力提供基础。(c)2021 elestvier有限公司保留所有权利。

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