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首页> 外文期刊>Water Resources Management >Reservoir Inflow Synchronization Analysis for Four Reservoirs on a Mainstream and its Tributaries in Flood Season Based on a Multivariate Copula Model
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Reservoir Inflow Synchronization Analysis for Four Reservoirs on a Mainstream and its Tributaries in Flood Season Based on a Multivariate Copula Model

机译:基于多元综合模型的汛期洪水季度汛期储层流入同步分析

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摘要

To meet flood control demand, many reservoirs have been built successively in China for many years. Reservoir inflow synchronization analysis for multiple reservoirs in the flood season can provide a reference for the formulation of the joint water supply operation plan and improve the utilization efficiency of water resources. In this paper, a two-dimensional copula model is used to analyze the reservoir inflow synchronization between a single reservoir on a tributary and the reservoir on the mainstream of the river in the flood season. Based on the obtained results, a R-vine copula model is established by selecting a suitable structure to analyze the multidimensional joint reservoir inflow synchronization for multiple reservoirs in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River basin in the flood season. For four selected reservoirs in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River basin in China as a case study, the frequencies of synchronous wetness and synchronous dryness for the four reservoirs are 15.106% and 15.209%, respectively. The research results can serve as a reference for actual scheduling.
机译:为了满足防洪需求,许多水库已经在中国连续建立了多年。汛期多水库的水库流入同步分析可以为配方提供联合供水运行计划的参考,提高水资源利用效率。本文,二维拷贝模型用于分析汛期河流主流与河流和水库之间的储层流入同步。基于所得到的结果,通过选择合适的结构来建立一个R- vine Copula模型,以分析汛期黄河流域中下游的多层储层的多维联合储层流入同步。对于中国黄河流域中下游的四个选定的水库作为案例研究,四个储存器同步湿润和同步干燥的频率分别为15.106%和15.209%。研究结果可以作为实际调度的参考。

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