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Including Farmer Irrigation Behavior in a Sociohydrological Modeling Framework With Application in North India

机译:将农民灌溉行为纳入社会水文学模型框架并在印度北部应用

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摘要

Understanding water user behavior and its potential outcomes is important for the development of suitable water resource management options. Computational models are commonly used to assist water resource management decision making; however, while natural processes are increasingly well modeled, the inclusion of human behavior has lagged behind. Improved representation of irrigation water user behavior within models can provide more accurate and relevant information for irrigation management in the agricultural sector. This paper outlines a model that conceptualizes and proceduralizes observed farmer irrigation practices, highlighting impacts and interactions between the environment and behavior. It is developed using a bottom-up approach, informed through field experience and farmer interaction in the state of Uttar Pradesh, northern India. Observed processes and dynamics were translated into parsimonious algorithms, which represent field conditions and provide a tool for policy analysis and water management. The modeling framework is applied to four districts in Uttar Pradesh and used to evaluate the potential impact of changes in climate and irrigation behavior on water resources and farmer livelihood. Results suggest changes in water user behavior could have a greater impact on water resources, crop yields, and farmer income than changes in future climate. In addition, increased abstraction may be sustainable but its viability varies across the study region. By simulating the feedbacks and interactions between the behavior of water users, irrigation officials and agricultural practices, this work highlights the importance of directly including water user behavior in policy making and operational tools to achieve water and livelihood security.
机译:了解用水者的行为及其潜在结果对于开发合适的水资源管理方案非常重要。计算模型通常用于协助水资源管理决策。然而,尽管对自然过程的建模日益完善,但人类行为的包容性却落后了。模型中灌溉水使用者行为的改进表示可以为农业部门的灌溉管理提供更准确和相关的信息。本文概述了一个模型,该模型对观察到的农民灌溉做法进行概念化和程序化,强调了环境与行为之间的影响和相互作用。它是采用自下而上的方法开发的,并通过印度北部北方邦的实地经验和农民互动获得了信息。将观察到的过程和动态转化为简化算法,这些算法代表了现场条件,并提供了用于政策分析和水资源管理的工具。该建模框架应用于北方邦的四个地区,用于评估气候和灌溉行为变化对水资源和农民生计的潜在影响。结果表明,与未来气候变化相比,用水户行为的变化对水资源,作物产量和农民收入的影响更大。此外,增加抽象可能是可持续的,但其可行性在研究区域中会有所不同。通过模拟水用户,灌溉官员和农业实践之间的反馈和相互作用,这项工作突出了将水用户行为直接纳入决策和运营工具中以实现水和生计安全的重要性。

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