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DebatesHypothesis testing in hydrology: Pursuing certainty versus pursuing uberty

机译：辩论水文学中的假设检验：追求确定性与追求自由

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Modern hydrology places nearly all its emphasis on science-as-knowledge, the hypotheses of which are increasingly expressed as physical models, whose predictions are tested by correspondence to quantitative data sets. Though arguably appropriate for applications of theory to engineering and applied science, the associated emphases on truth and degrees of certainty are not optimal for the productive and creative processes that facilitate the fundamental advancement of science as a process of discovery. The latter requires an investigative approach, where the goal is uberty, a kind of fruitfulness of inquiry, in which the abductive mode of inference adds to the much more commonly acknowledged modes of deduction and induction. The resulting world-directed approach to hydrology provides a valuable complement to the prevailing hypothesis- (theory-) directed paradigm.
机译：现代水文学几乎将所有重点放在科学知识上，其假设越来越多地以物理模型表达，其预测通过与定量数据集的对应关系进行检验。尽管可以说理论适用于工程学和应用科学，但对真理和确定程度的相关强调对于促进科学作为发现过程的根本发展的生产性和创造性过程并不是最佳的。后者需要一种调查方法，其目的是要保持自由，这是一种富有成果的探究，在这种方法中，归纳推理模式增加了更为普遍公认的演绎和归纳模式。由此产生的面向世界的水文学方法为流行的假设（理论）指导范式提供了宝贵的补充。

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