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Managing hydroclimatological risk to water supply with option contracts and reservoir index insurance

机译:通过期权合同和水库指数保险管理供水的水文气候风险

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This paper explores the performance of a system of economic instruments designed to facilitate the reduction of hydroclimatologic variability-induced impacts on stakeholders of shared water supply. The system is composed of bulk water option contracts between urban water suppliers and agricultural users and insurance indexed on reservoir inflows. The insurance is designed to cover the financial needs of the water supplier in situations where the option is likely to be exercised. Insurance provides the irregularly needed funds for exercising the water options. The combined option contract - reservoir index insurance system creates risk sharing between sectors that is currently lacking in many shared water situations. Contracts are designed for a shared agriculture - urban water system in Metro Manila, Philippines, using optimization and Monte Carlo analysis. Observed reservoir inflows are used to simulate contract performance. Results indicate the option - insurance design effectively smooths water supply costs of hydrologic variability for both agriculture and urban water.
机译:本文探讨了旨在促进减少水文气候变异性对共享供水的利益相关者的影响的经济手段体系的绩效。该系统由城市供水者和农业用户之间的大宗水选择合同和以水库入库量为基础的保险组成。该保险旨在满足可能行使期权的情况下水供应商的财务需求。保险为行使用水选择权提供了不定期需要的资金。组合期权合同-水库指数保险系统在许多共有水的情况下当前缺乏的部门之间建立风险分担。合同是通过优化和蒙特卡洛分析为菲律宾马尼拉大都会的共享农业-城市供水系统设计的。观察到的油藏流入量可用于模拟合同执行情况。结果表明,这种选择-保险设计有效地降低了农业用水和城市用水的水文变异性的供水成本。

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