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'Best Practices' in Regional Trading Agreements: An Application to Asia

机译:区域贸易协定中的“最佳做法”:在亚洲的应用

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摘要

In a controversial academic piece in the American Economic Review (but widely circulated beforehand), Andrew Rose tests the hypothesis of whether or not the WTO has really made a difference in stimulating world trade (Rose, 2004). Using a gravity model of international trade, he rejects this hypothesis. In other words, over the 1948-2000 period, being a member of the WTO had no statistically-significant effect on influencing bilateral trade, when one controls for other relatively standard variables. Now, while few would doubt the analytical robustness of the article, the piece has been criticised from a variety of angles, including the fact that it focuses on overall bilateral trade, rather than trade by sectors. One certainly would not expect a significant WTO effect in agriculture, textiles and clothing, and other protected sectors that have basically remained outside of the GATT/WTO liberalisation process. Still, that is his point: the GATT/WTO has not done enough.
机译:在《美国经济评论》(但已广为流传)中有争议的学术文章中,安德鲁·罗斯检验了世界贸易组织是否真的在刺激世界贸易方面发挥了作用的假说(罗斯,2004年)。他使用国际贸易的引力模型拒绝了这一假设。换句话说,在1948-2000年期间,当一个WTO控制其他相对标准的变量时,作为WTO成员对影响双边贸易没有统计学意义的影响。现在,虽然很少有人会怀疑该文章的分析稳健性,但该文章已从多种角度受到批评,包括该文章侧重于整体双边贸易,而不是按部门进行贸易。当然,人们不会指望WTO对农业,纺织品和服装以及其他基本上不在关贸总协定/世贸组织自由化进程范围之内的受保护部门产生重大影响。尽管如此,这仍然是他的观点:关贸总协定/世界贸易组织做得还不够。

著录项

  • 来源
    《The World Economy》 |2007年第12期|p.1771-1796|共26页
  • 作者

    Michael G. Plummer;

  • 作者单位

    The John Hopkins University, SAIS-Bologna;

  • 收录信息
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 f;
  • 关键词

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