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Identifying vehicular effects of home shopping a regional study and comparative analysis.

机译:识别家庭购物的车辆影响区域研究和比较分析。

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摘要

Home shopping allows consumers to shop for goods while in the privacy of their own home, as opposed to traditional shopping, which requires a visit to stores and shopping malls. As a shopping behavior trend, home shopping has also become more popular. This shopping method seems to decrease shopping trips, yet more delivery trucks required to be on the roads. In addition, even more personal trips may occur because saving time on shopping might allow more time for alternate activities.;A study that was performed in 2001 at the University of Delaware, investigated the effects of home shopping on the transportation system of downtown Newark. The purpose of that study was to identify the home shopping impacts on transportation system, precisely, its net effects on traffic volume of the transportation network of downtown Newark, Delaware and then to provide some projections for 2005 and 2010 situation.;The first purpose of the current study was to verify the forecasts provided by Cvetek. For this purpose, a survey questionnaire was prepared to identify the shopping habits of the residents in the study area and also a rough estimation of home shopping within a year in the study area for the current year (2008). Furthermore, the results were used to make a Synchro model to evaluate the mentioned projections. The second purpose of the current study was to make new projections (based on the mentioned evaluations) for the next five years and the next ten years from 2008 (the base year) to address the impacts of home shopping on the downtown Newark street network.;The evaluation process produced two remarkable results. First, none of the scenarios provided in the previous study were proved to be the dominant case for the present condition. Second, although the growth in home shopping has been significantly less than what was projected in the scenarios I, II and III, the MOEs for 2008 are even worse than the worst case scenario projected for 2010.;Simulation results of the new projections for 2013 and 2018 prove that South Chapel Street is the most vulnerable street of the network since its MOEs experience a remarkable decline. Also, for the northbound South College Avenue and Academy Street, a significant increase in Delay and Travel Time for 2013 and 2018 condition is observed. Besides, the least affected links of the network are southbound Academy Street and Southbound South College Avenue.
机译:与传统购物相比,家庭购物允许消费者在自己的家中私密地购物,而传统购物则需要逛商店和大型购物中心。作为购物行为的趋势,家庭购物也变得越来越流行。这种购物方式似乎减少了购物次数,但路上却需要更多的送货卡车。此外,可能会发生更多的个人出行,因为节省购物时间可能使更多时间用于其他活动。特拉华大学2001年进行的一项研究调查了家庭购物对纽瓦克市区交通系统的影响。这项研究的目的是确定家庭购物对运输系统的影响,确切地说是其对特拉华州纽瓦克市区交通网络的交通量的净影响,然后对2005年和2010年的情况提供一些预测。当前的研究是验证Cvetek提供的预测。为此,准备了一份调查问卷,以识别研究区域内居民的购物习惯,并对本年度(2008年)一年内研究区域内的家庭购物进行粗略估算。此外,将结果用于制作Synchro模型以评估上述预测。本研究的第二个目的是针对从2008年(基准年)起的未来五年和未来十年做出新的预测(基于上述评估),以解决家庭购物对纽瓦克市区街道网络的影响。 ;评估过程产生了两个显着的结果。首先,以前的研究提供的任何情景都没有被证明是当前状况的主要案例。其次,尽管家庭购物的增长大大低于方案一,方案二和方案三的预测,但2008年的MOE甚至比2010年的最坏情况还差。; 2013年新预测的模拟结果2018年证明南教堂街是该网络中最脆弱的街道,因为其MOE经历了显着下降。此外,对于学院南大街和学院街北行,2013年和2018年的延误和旅行时间明显增加。此外,该网络受影响最小的链接是学院街南行和学院南大街南行。

著录项

  • 作者

    Laghaei, Jamshid.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Delaware.;

  • 授予单位 University of Delaware.;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.;Transportation.
  • 学位 M.C.E.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 138 p.
  • 总页数 138
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 建筑科学;综合运输;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:37:41

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