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Which Factor Dominates the Industry Evolution? A Synergy Analysis Based on China's ICT Industry

机译:哪个因素主导行业发展?基于中国ICT产业的协同分析

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Industry evolution is caused by various reasons, among which technology progress has been approved to drive industry development, but with the new trend of industry convergence, inter-industry convergence also plays an increasingly important role. Contrasting to the previous studies, this paper plans to explore the industry synergetic evolution mechanism based on industry convergence and technology progress. We use self-organization method and Haken Model to establish synergetic evolution equations, and select technology progress and industry convergence as the key variables of industry evolution system. Besides, patent licensing data of China’s listed ICT companies are collected to measure industry convergence rate, and DEA Malmquist index method is applied to calculate technology progress level. In the empirical analysis, simultaneous equation estimation method is adopted to investigate the synergetic industry evolution process. Our main findings are that (1) technology progress is an order parameter, which dominates industry system evolution. Moreover, industry convergence is a control parameter, which is influenced by technology progress; (2) Development of technology progress is the core factor for causing evolution of industry system, and industry convergence is the outcome of technology progress; (3) Especially, it is important that the dominated role of technology progress will be sustained, even though in the environment of convergence, and so companies also need to focus on self-innovation rather than only to adapt to the new industry evolution trend. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5755/j01.ee.25.3.5823
机译:产业演进是由多种原因引起的,其中技术进步已被批准来推动产业发展,但随着产业融合的新趋势,产业间融合也发挥着越来越重要的作用。与以往的研究相反,本文计划探索基于行业融合和技术进步的行业协同演化机制。我们使用自组织方法和Haken模型建立协同演化方程,选择技术进步和产业融合作为产业演化系统的关键变量。此外,还收集了中国上市的ICT公司的专利许可数据,以衡量行业融合率,并采用DEA Malmquist指数法计算技术进步水平。在实证分析中,采用联立方程估计法研究协同产业的演进过程。我们的主要发现是:(1)技术进步是一个有序的参数,主导着行业系统的演进。而且,产业融合是一个控制参数,受技术进步的影响。 (2)技术进步的发展是引起产业体系演进的核心因素,产业融合是技术进步的结果; (3)尤其重要的是,即使在融合的环境中,技术进步的主导作用也要持续下去,因此公司还需要专注于自我创新,而不仅仅是适应新的行业发展趋势。 DOI:http://dx.doi.org/10.5755/j01.ee.25.3.5823

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