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Research on the Influencing Factors of Comprehensive Water Consumption by Impulse Response Function Analysis

机译:脉冲响应函数分析法研究综合用水量的影响因素

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摘要

Jiangsu is a major province located in the east of China, consuming a large amount of water resources. It is considered that improving the comprehensive water use efficiency has an important significance to achieve sustainable development of the economy in Jiangsu. Through extensive literature research and investigation of Jiangsu Province, this paper establishes comprehensive water use efficiency index system using water consumption per ten thousand dollar gross domestic product (WC/$10 4 GDP) as the research target. In the index system, resource factors such as surface water resources (SW), groundwater resources (GW), precipitation (PT), water resources per capita (PW), water consumption per capita (PC) and irrigation area per capita (PI) cannot be artificially altered. Furthermore, the variation amplitude of resource factors is very small. It shows that the linear regression model is not suitable to analyze the resource factors by changing the independent variables. In view of this situation, this paper introduces impulse response function on the basis of vector autoregressive model (VAR) to investigate the intrinsic link between resource factors and WC/$10 4 GDP in Jiangsu Province. The results show that resource factors have a great impact on WC/$10 4 GDP in Jiangsu, and the per capita water resources (PW) has the most significant impact.
机译:江苏是中国东部的重要省份,消耗大量水资源。认为提高综合用水效率对实现江苏经济的可持续发展具有重要意义。通过对江苏省的广泛文献研究,建立了以万元国内生产总值用水量(WC / $ 10 4 GDP)为研究对象的综合用水效率指标体系。在指标体系中,地表水资源(SW),地下水资源(GW),降水(PT),人均水资源(PW),人均耗水量(PC)和人均灌溉面积(PI)等资源因素不能人为更改。此外,资源因素的变化幅度很小。结果表明,线性回归模型不适合通过改变自变量来分析资源因素。针对这种情况,本文在向量自回归模型的基础上引入脉冲响应函数,研究了江苏省资源要素与WC / $ 10 4 GDP之间的内在联系。结果表明,资源因素对江苏省WC / $ 10 4 GDP的影响最大,人均水资源(PW)影响最大。

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