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Research on Passenger Flow Early Warning of Urban Rail Transit Station Based on System Dynamics

机译:基于系统动力学的城市轨道交通车站客流预警研究

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Large-scale passenger flows occur frequently during the peak hours of urban rail transit stations and on holidays. Thus, the timely and accurate early warning of impending large-scale passenger flows can positively impact the operational safety of the entire station. By further deepening the definition of passenger flow warnings in stations, a new model of urban rail transit station passenger flow based on system dynamics is constructed. The method of determining the key area of passenger flows in the early warning stage based on streamlines is proposed; the key indicators and thresholds affecting early warnings are studied. Finally, taking a typical station as an example, a station model is built using Anylogic software. The parameter sensitivity analysis is used to determine the impact of each key indicator on the passenger flow in the key area of the station early warning, and the reference threshold of each indicator is determined.
机译:在城市轨道交通车站的高峰时段和假日期间,经常发生大规模的客流。因此,及时而准确的即将发生的大规模客流预警可以对整个车站的运行安全产生积极影响。通过进一步加深车站客流预警的定义,构建了基于系统动力学的城市轨道交通车站客流新模型。提出了基于流线确定预警阶段客流关键区域的方法。研究了影响预警的关键指标和阈值。最后,以典型的工作站为例,使用Anylogic软件构建工作站模型。通过参数敏感性分析,确定各关键指标对车站预警关键区域客流的影响,确定各指标的参考阈值。

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