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US Economic Outlook

机译：美国经济展望

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The news on the domestic economy remains mostly upbeat, especially for employment, although as Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke has pointed out, the news from the labor market has been improving more rapidly than the news on overall final demand and production. In the first quarter, we actually expect to see productivity decline as hours worked outpace GDP growth. It seems that firms are finding it harder and harder to get more output from their existing workforces. Rising employment is good news for household incomes and will support consumer spending, but rising labor costs will squeeze profit margins, as evident in the slowing pace of corporate earnings growth.
机译：尽管正如美联储主席本·伯南克指出的那样，关于国内经济的消息仍然乐观，尤其是对于就业而言，但劳动力市场的消息比总体最终需求和生产的消息更快地得到了改善。实际上，我们预计在第一季度，随着工作时间超过GDP增长，生产率将下降。似乎公司越来越难从他们现有的劳动力中获得更多的产出。就业增长对家庭收入而言是个好消息，将支持消费者的支出，但劳动力成本的上升将压缩利润率，这在企业收益增长速度放缓中就很明显。

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