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Distribution functions to describe the variation of the present per capita electricity consumption in India and future needs with respect to the population

机译:分布函数描述印度目前人均用电量的变化以及未来人口的需求

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摘要

The present mean annual per capita consumption of electricity in India is only around 800 to 900 kWh. This is a low value and it is accepted that it will have to increase in the future to a mean value which could range from 1840 to 4000 kWh. This article is concerned with an aspect which has not received attention so far, viz, the nature of distribution of the consumption around the mean with respect to the population. Since no direct data are available, an attempt is made to deduce the present distribution in India from data available for the world as a whole. It is shown that the present variation can be approximated to be a Poisson-like Weibull distribution which is highly inequitable. The study also suggests a distribution for the future in which not only is the mean annual per capita value higher, but the variation can be approximated by a Gaussian-like Weibull distribution which is more equitable.
机译:印度目前的年人均用电量仅为800至900千瓦时左右。这是一个较低的值,并且已被接受,将来必须将其增加到1840至4000 kWh范围内的平均值。本文所涉及的一个方面到目前为止尚未引起注意,即有关人口的均值周围消费分布的性质。由于没有直接数据可用,因此尝试从整个世界的可用数据推断出印度目前的分布。结果表明,目前的变化可以近似为高度不均等的类似于泊松的威布尔分布。该研究还提出了一种未来的分布,其中不仅人均年均值更高,而且该变化可以通过更公平的高斯型威布尔分布来近似。

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