Too light, too sweet

Bill Barnes

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Too light, too sweet

机译：太轻，太甜了

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US light tight oil output is transforming world oil markets. After falling during the 2015 oil price crash, total American production-of which shale is now a major source-surged back onto markets, and the Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects output to rise another 0.5m barrels a day in 2018, to a record 9.9m b/d. Much of this new production is finding its way onto global markets, and exports now regularly run over 1m b/d. But can there be too much of a good thing? Specifically, with Opec's light sweet crude exporters Libya and Nigeria staggering back from extended production outages, and big Persian Gulf producers tightening availabilities of middle-gravity sour crudes, is there a "demand limit" to the volumes of very light sweet crude now produced in the US? Several factors suggest that there is, and that the market is already pricing it in.

机译：美国轻质紧的石油输出正在改变世界石油市场。在2015年石油价格崩溃期间下跌后，美国生产的总产量现在是市场的主要源泉，而能源信息管理局（EIA）预计2018年将产出增加0.5米的桶。纪录9.9mb / d。这一新生产的大部分都在全球市场找到了途径，现在出口经常运行超过1M的B / D。但可以有太多好事吗？具体而言，与欧佩克的轻甜粗原油出口商利比亚和尼日利亚蹒跚而言，延长的生产中断，而大波斯湾生产者收紧了中重力酸性粗糙的可用性，就有一个“需求限制”到现在产生的非常轻的甜原油的量。美国？有几个因素表明，市场已经定价了。

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来源
《Petroleum Economist》 |2017年第1期|共1页
作者
Bill Barnes;
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作者单位

Director of energy consultancy Pisgah Partners;

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正文语种 eng
中图分类石油、天然气工业;
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Too light, too sweet

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