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Technology, offshoring and the rise of non-routine jobs

机译:技术,外包和非日常工作的兴起

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This paper documents the growing share of non-routine jobs in the labor force of thirty-seven advanced and emerging countries over the period 1999-2007. To examine the role of offshoring and technological change in driving this labor market development, we develop a task-based model of production in global value chains and propose a decomposition of changes in occupational labor demand. In the setup of the model, technological change affects the total number of workers with a certain occupation throughout the production chain, while task relocation consists of a shift in occupational labor demand from one location to another. For the empirical implementation we combine harmonized cross-country occupations data with world input-output tables. The results of our decomposition suggest that technological change increased the number of non-routine relative to routine occupations in all countries. The effect of task relocation is less strong, and works in the same direction for advanced countries such as Germany and the United States but in the opposite direction for emerging countries such as China and Poland.
机译:本文在1999年至2007年期间,撰写了在三十七个先进和新兴国家的劳动力中不断增长的非日常工作份额。为了审查外包和技术变革在推动这一劳动力市场的发展方面的作用,我们在全球价值链中制定了基于任务的生产模式,并提出了职业劳工需求的变化分解。在模型的设置中,技术变革影响整个生产链中具有一定职业的工人总数,而任务搬迁包括从一个地点到另一个地点的职业劳动需求的转变。对于实证实现,我们将统一的跨国占用数据与世界输入 - 产出表相结合。我们分解的结果表明,技术变革增加了相对于所有国家的常规职业的非常规数量。任务搬迁的效果不太强劲,并与德国和美国等高级国家的相同方向工作,但在中国和波兰等新兴国家的相反方向。

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