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The sick man of Opec

机译:欧佩克的病人

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The Venezuelan oil industry is, like the country's economy, in a free fall. Oil production declined by 12% in 2016 and another 10-to-12% in 2017-about 250,000 barrels a day to less than 2m b/d, a level not seen since the late 1980s. The supply collapse is triple Venezuela's commitment under the Opec cut deal. The accumulated output decline amounts to more than 0.7m b/d in the past six years-down a quarter. More than 90% of Venezuela's hard currency is earned through oil sales. As a result, even though the price bounced back in 2017 compared to 2016, the country didn't significantly improve its cash situation and foreign exchange reserves kept declining. The oil industry collapse mirrors Venezuela's economic debacle. The country is in the worst economic depression ever recorded in Latin America. The IMF estimates GDP decline rates of 16.5% in 2016,12% in 2017, and 6% in 2018. Inflation is projected to reach above 2,000% in 2018. The country is immersed in a political conflict and civil strife. The US, Canada and most countries in Latin America and Europe have condemned the government's anti-democratic moves.
机译:委内瑞拉的石油工业和该国的经济一样,处于自由落体状态。2016年,石油产量下降了12%,2017年又下降了10%到12%,约为每天25万桶,低于200万桶,这是自20世纪80年代末以来的最高水平。供应崩溃是委内瑞拉在欧佩克削减协议下承诺的三倍。过去六年中,该季度的产量累计下降了70万美元。委内瑞拉90%以上的硬通货是通过石油销售赚取的。因此,尽管2017年的价格与2016年相比有所反弹,但该国的现金状况并没有显著改善,外汇储备也一直在下降。石油工业的崩溃反映了委内瑞拉的经济崩溃。该国正处于拉丁美洲有史以来最严重的经济萧条之中。IMF估计2016年GDP下降率为16.5%,2017年为12%,2018年为6%。预计2018年通货膨胀率将达到2000%以上。该国陷入政治冲突和内乱之中。美国、加拿大以及拉丁美洲和欧洲的大多数国家都谴责了政府的反民主行动。

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