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Unsettling the Peace? The Role of Illicit Economies in Peace Processes

机译:令人畏惧的和平? 非法经济在和平进程中的作用

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The long-term legacies of civil war economies ?often characterized by widespread illicit economic activities and the proliferation of criminal and quasi-criminal networks ?pose significant challenges to achieving sustainable postwar settlements. This essay surveys predominant strategies to address war economies in peace processes for countries emerging from war. I identify three prevailing approaches ?criminalization, co-option, and neglect ?and discuss trade-offs associated with each. While there is no clear consensus on which approach is most likely to succeed and most countries will require a balanced combination of all three, it is increasingly clear that peace agreements that fail to sufficiently incorporate the perspectives of communities dependent on illicit economies and to account for how illicit economies shape national and subnational political settlements are more likely to produce unstable postwar regimes in the medium to long-run. I conclude with some reflections on future research agendas and potential policy implications that merit further exploration.
机译:内战经济的长期遗产?通常以广泛的非法经济活动以及犯罪和准犯罪网络的扩散为特征?对实现可持续的战后定居点构成重大挑战。本文调查了摆脱战争的国家在和平进程中解决战争经济的主要战略。我确定了三种流行的方法?刑事定罪、共同选择和忽视?并讨论与之相关的权衡。虽然对于哪种方法最有可能成功还没有明确的共识,大多数国家都需要这三者的平衡结合,越来越明显的是,和平协定如果不能充分纳入依赖非法经济的社区的观点,不能说明非法经济如何影响国家和国家以下各级的政治解决,就更有可能在中长期内产生不稳定的战后政权。最后,我对未来的研究议程和潜在的政策含义进行了一些思考,值得进一步探讨。

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