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首页> 外文期刊>The Review of Economic Studies >Heads or Tails: The Impact of a Coin Toss on Major Life Decisions and Subsequent Happiness
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Heads or Tails: The Impact of a Coin Toss on Major Life Decisions and Subsequent Happiness

机译：头部或尾部：硬币折腾对主要生活决定和随后的幸福的影响

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摘要

Little is known about whether people make good choices when facing important decisions. This article reports on a large-scale randomized field experiment in which research subjects having difficulty making a decision flipped a coin to help determine their choice. For important decisions (e.g. quitting a job or ending a relationship), individuals who are told by the coin toss to make a change are more likely to make a change, more satisfied with their decisions, and happier six months later than those whose coin toss instructed maintaining the status quo. This finding suggests that people may be excessively cautious when facing life-changing choices.
机译：人们在面对重要决策时是否做出了正确的选择，目前还知之甚少。这篇文章报道了一项大规模的随机现场实验，在该实验中，难以做出决定的研究对象掷硬币来帮助决定他们的选择。对于重要的决定（例如辞职或结束一段关系），掷硬币决定改变的人比那些掷硬币决定维持现状的人更有可能做出改变，对自己的决定更满意，六个月后更快乐。这一发现表明，人们在面对改变生活的选择时可能过于谨慎。

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