A method for estimating the transmissibility of influenza using serial cross-sectional seroepidemiological data

Yang Yichi; Asai Yusuke; Nishiura Hiroshi

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A method for estimating the transmissibility of influenza using serial cross-sectional seroepidemiological data

机译：使用串行横截面血型化数据估算流感传导性的方法

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Background: Seroepidemiological surveillance data has been demonstrated to be useful for estimating the cumulative incidence of influenza, and measures the difference between pre- and post-epidemic seropositive fractions. Despite this, such studies relied on a chosen cut-off value for seropositivity. The aim of the present study is to develop a method to analyze distributions of serial cross-sectional seroepidemiological surveillance datasets using an epidemiological model so that the transmission potential can be estimated without imposing a cut-off value.

机译：背景：血清流行病学监测数据已被证明有助于估计流感的累积发病率，并测量流行前和流行后血清阳性率之间的差异。尽管如此，这些研究还是依赖于选定的血清阳性临界值。本研究的目的是开发一种方法，使用流行病学模型分析连续横断面血清流行病学监测数据集的分布，以便在不施加截止值的情况下估计传播潜力。

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《Journal of Theoretical Biology》 |2021年第1期|共8页
作者
Yang Yichi; Asai Yusuke; Nishiura Hiroshi;
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作者单位

Hokkaido Univ Grad Sch Med Sapporo Hokkaido Japan;

Hokkaido Univ Grad Sch Med Sapporo Hokkaido Japan;

Hokkaido Univ Grad Sch Med Sapporo Hokkaido Japan;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类普通生物学;
关键词
Infectious disease transmission B; asic reproduction number; Theoretical model; Seroepidemiologic study; Incidence;

机译：传染病传播;asic复制号;理论模型;血清流行病学研究;发生率;

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A method for estimating the transmissibility of influenza using serial cross-sectional seroepidemiological data

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