RUSSIA: CONSUMPTION FORECAST

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RUSSIA: CONSUMPTION FORECAST

机译：俄罗斯：消费预测

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Investments in oil and gas extraction will increase in the forecast period given the need to replenish the resource base and maintain high production under the Strategy of Russian Mineral Reserve Base Development Until 2035. Provided a faster increase in the share of high-tech horizontal drilling, OCTG orders will rise correspondingly. Considering negative trends in the housing construction sector and uncertainty amid insufficient development of national projects to meet targets outlined in the May 2018 decree, pipe consumption in construction is expected to be stagnated throughout the forecast period. In 2019-2020, the capacity of the market for small- and medium-sized standard seamless and welded pipes will decrease by 1-4% from 2018 to arrive at 4.95-5.1 million t. Consumption of large diameter pipes (LDP) will be higher than predicted – at 2.63 million t this year (up?38.3% year-on-year) and possibly at 2.27 million t in 2020 in case of launch of the Ukhta–Torzhok 3 project and overland construction of the Southern Gas Corridor 2.

机译：鉴于需要补充资源基础并在俄罗斯矿产储备基础开发策略下，直到2035年，对石油和天然气提取的投资将在预测期内增加。 OCTG订单将相应上升。考虑到住房建设部门的负面趋势和不确定性，因为国家项目的发展不足以满足2018年5月法令中概述的目标，预计在整个预测期内，建筑中的管道消费将被停滞不前。在2019 - 2020年，中小型标准无缝和焊接管的市场产能比2018年将减少1-4％，达到4.95-510万吨。大型直径管（LDP）的消费将高于预期的高度 - 今年为263万T（同比增长38.3％），在2020年启动UKHTA-TORZHOK 3项目的情况下，可能在2020年为227万T以及南部天然气走廊2的陆上建设2。

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《CIS Tubes and Pipes Forecast》 |2019年第8期|4-19|共16页
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Oil and gas extraction; Investments; LARGE DIAMETER PIPEWELDED PIPEconstruction sectors;

机译：石油和天然气提取;投资;大直径管道管道部门;

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RUSSIA: CONSUMPTION FORECAST

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