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Regulatory/market assessment

机译:管理/市场评估

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1.The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the civic-military regime, led by Nicolas Maduro of the Partido Socialista Unido de Venezuela (the Chavistas), to remain in power during 2021-25, despite its role in fomenting the country's ongoing socio-economic and humanitarian crisis. A number of factors underpin our forecast, notably the regime's strict control over the military, the police and paramilitary forces. 2.Effective from May 2021, a new "anti-blockade" law (ley antibloqueo) grants the executive branch extraordinary powers to conduct deals with local and foreign private companies in the oil sector outside of conventional legal norms, such as public-tender procedures and disclosure of contractual terms. The law is unlikely to improve the attractiveness of the Venezuelan market to private investors. 3.In October 2020 a US federal court ruled that creditors could seize a controlling stake in Citgo as compensation for defaulted bonds from Venezuela's state oil company (Petroleos de Venezuela). The fate of Citgo remains uncertain, as Mr Madura's government has rejected the ruling and US sanctions continue to block the company's sell-off. 4.In May 2021 the minimum monthly wage was set at BsS7m, compared with BsS4OO,ooo a year earlier. The so-called food bonus (bono de alimentation) or basket ticket (cestaricket), a monthly monetary supplement for basic food, was set at BsS3m. 5.From October 1st 2021, the Banco Central de Venezuela (the central bank) will replace the bolivar soberano with the bolivar digital. This will effectively take six zeros off the currency, marking the country's third currency redenomination since 2008. The change is largely cosmetic and will not fundamentally engender confidence in the bolivar.
机译:1.civic-military政权,Nicolas Maduro领导的《委内瑞拉联合社会党查韦斯主义者),继续掌权期间2021 - 25,尽管它在煽动国家的角色持续的社会经济和人道主义危机。许多因素支撑我们的预测,特别是政府严格控制军队,警察和准军事部队。从2021年5月,一个新的“anti-blockade”法(雷antibloqueo)授予行政部门非凡的力量与当地进行交易和外国私人公司在石油行业传统以外的法律规范,如公开招标程序和披露合同条款。委内瑞拉市场的吸引力私人投资者。法院裁定,债权人可以抓住一个的控股权Citgo作为补偿从委内瑞拉国家石油违约债券公司(委内瑞拉)。Citgo仍不确定,马都拉先生的执政党和美国政府拒绝了继续阻止公司的制裁抛售。被设定为BsS7m,与BsS4OO相比,哦,一年早些时候。营养)或篮子票(cestaricket)月度货币基本食物,补充BsS3m。中央委内瑞拉(中央银行)取代玻利瓦尔的玻利瓦尔君主白兰地酒数字。人民币,标志着国家的第三位自2008年以来,货币改革。很大程度上化妆,不会从根本上产生对玻利瓦尔的信心。

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