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Coupling Computer Models through Linking Their Statistical Emulators

机译:耦合通过连接他们的计算机模型统计仿真器

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摘要

Direct coupling of computer models is often difficult for computational and logistical reasons. We propose coupling computer models by linking independently developed Gaussian process emulators (GaSPs) of these models. Linked emulators are developed that are closed form, namely normally distributed with closed form predictive mean and variance functions. These are compared with a more direct emulation strategy, namely running the coupled computer models and directly emulating the system; perhaps surprisingly, this direct emulator was inferior in all illustrations. Pedagogical examples are given as well as an application to coupling of real computer models.
机译:通常是直接耦合的计算机模型难以计算和后勤的原因。连接独立开发的高斯过程这些模型的仿真器(喘息)。模拟器是封闭的开发形式,即正态分布与封闭形式预测均值和方差函数。而更直接的仿真策略,即运行计算机模型和耦合直接模拟系统;令人惊讶的是,这个直接模拟器是低劣在所有的插图。以及应用程序的耦合真正的计算机模型。

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