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Ukraine: consumption forecast

机译:乌克兰:消费预测

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摘要

Acceleration of Ukraine's GDP growth in Q2 to 4.6% y-o-y (up?2.1 p.p. quarter-on-quarter) was mostly attributed to the construction industry. Overall, real estate transactions and construction segments contributed 0.83 p.p. of the increase, the highest among the industries. Real estate transactions have been steadily increasing by 3.5-5% since the beginning of 2018, while the construction segment has posted a more than a 3-fold rise this year. Moreover, import rates are on the rise, while export is under pressure. These trends will be backed by excessively strong hryvnia due to issuance of expensive government bonds. A threat of political instability is still relevant and can may quickly send the market down.
机译:加速度的乌克兰在第二季度国内生产总值(GDP)增长4.6%同比(? 2.1 p.p.环比)主要是归因于建筑业。房地产交易和建设段贡献0.83分压的增加,最高的行业之一。交易一直在稳步增加3.5 - -5% 2018年初以来,施工段公布了今年将增长三倍。在增加,而出口正面临压力。这些趋势将由过分强大hryvnia由于发行昂贵的政府债券。相关和市场可能很快就可以发送下来。

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