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首页> 外文期刊>US Industry Long-Term Outlook >The view just ahead Following Q1 decline,GDP growth to turn positive in Q2 and Q3,in line with growth of domestic demand
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The view just ahead Following Q1 decline,GDP growth to turn positive in Q2 and Q3,in line with growth of domestic demand

机译：视图在第一季度下降之后,GDP增长将积极在Q2和Q3,符合国内需求的增长

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In this month's forecast,we look for 2.4% GDP growth in the second quarter and 2.2% growth in the third quarter.This would follow volatile readings over the prior two quarters,when large swings in inventory investment and net exports buffeted the quarterly growth figures-a surge in inventory investment in the fourth quarter raised GDP growth to nearly 7%,while declines in net exports and inventory investment in the first quarter lowered GDP growth to a 1.5% decline.During this period,real final sales to domestic purchasers(consumption,fixed investment,and government spending)was steadily firming.Over the second and third quarters,we expect considerably less movement in inventory investment and net exports from quarter to quarter,and we expect GDP growth to reflect continued steady growth of domestic demand.
机译：在这个月的预测,我们寻找国内生产总值(GDP)的2.4%经济增长在第二季度增长2.2%第三季度。阅读前两个季度,当大波动的库存投资和净出口冲击的季度增长数据激增在第四季度存货投资GDP增长近7%,而净的下降出口和库存投资在第一季度GDP增长降低1.5%下降。国内购买(消费、固定稳定投资,政府支出)紧致。预计库存大幅降低运动从季度投资和净出口季,我们预计GDP增长率来反映持续稳定增长的国内需求。

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