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首页> 外文期刊>US Industry Long-Term Outlook >Net exports provide partial offset in an otherwise weak economy as imports are hit harder than exports
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Net exports provide partial offset in an otherwise weak economy as imports are hit harder than exports

机译：净出口提供部分抵消,否则进口的冲击比疲软的经济出口

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In this month's forecast, we expect disruptions related to COVID-19 to result in sharp declines in exports and especially imports, with the balance implying higher net exports over the first three quarters of this year. Over that time, net exports add an average of 2.4 percentage points to GDP growth, providing a partial offset during the recession. By the fourth quarter of 2020, net exports are again a drag on GDP growth as the recovery in imports outpaces exports, subtracting an average of 1.6 percentage points from GDP growth through early 2022. As growth of exports and imports moderates following the recovery, a declining dollar supports stronger growth of exports relative to imports, resulting in net exports returning to a positive for GDP growth through the end of 2024.
机译：在这个月的预测,我们预计中断有关COVID-19导致急剧下降尤其是在出口和进口,平衡意味着更高的净出口的今年前三个季度的。时间,平均净出口增加2.4GDP增长百分点,提供一个部分抵消经济衰退期间。2020年第四季度,净出口是又一个进口拖累GDP增长的复苏超过出口,减去平均为1.6通过早期从GDP增长百分点2022. 复苏后,美元贬值支持出口强劲增长相对进口,导致净出口回到积极为国内生产总值(GDP)增长到2024年底。

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