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Incidence and prevalence of heart failure in elderly persons, 1994-2003.

机译:心力衰竭的发病率和患病率老年人,1994 - 2003。

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BACKGROUND: Recent analyses have presented conflicting evidence regarding the incidence and prevalence of heart failure in the United States. We sought to estimate the annual incidence and prevalence of heart failure and associated survival in elderly persons from January 1, 1994, through December 31, 2003. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 622,789 Medicare beneficiaries 65 years or older who were diagnosed as having heart failure between 1994 and 2003. The main outcome measures were incidence and prevalence of heart failure and survival following a heart failure diagnosis. RESULTS: The incidence of heart failure declined from 32 per 1000 person-years in 1994 to 29 per 1000 person-years in 2003 (P < .01). Incidence declined most sharply among beneficiaries aged 80 to 84 years (from 57.5 to 48.4 per 1000 person-years, P < .01) and increased slightly among beneficiaries aged 65 to 69 years (from 17.5 to 19.3 per 1000 person-years, P < .01). Although risk-adjusted mortality declined slightly from 1994 to 2003, the prognosis for patients diagnosed as having heart failure remains poor. In 2002, risk-adjusted 1-year mortality was 27.5%, more than 3 times higher than for age- and sex-matched patients. CONCLUSIONS: Although the incidence of heart failure has declined somewhat during the past decade, modest survival gains have resulted in an increase in the number of patients living with heart failure. Identifying optimal strategies for the treatment and management of heart failure will become increasingly important as the size of the Medicare population grows.
机译:背景:最近的分析关于发病率和相互矛盾的证据心力衰竭的发病率在美国。我们试图估计年度发病率和心力衰竭的发病率和相关从1994年1月1日在老年人生存,到2003年12月31日。622789年医疗保险的回顾性队列研究受益者,65岁或更老的人诊断为心脏衰竭在1994年和2003年。心力衰竭的发病率和患病率生存在心力衰竭的诊断。结果:心衰的发病率下降从1994年的32每1000人每年29 /在2003年1000人年(P < . 01)。下降最明显的受益者享年80岁到84年(从57.5到48.4每1000人组,P < . 01),略有增加在65到69岁(从受益者17.5到19.3每1000人每年,P < . 01)。尽管风险调整死亡率下降略从1994年到2003年,预后病人诊断为心力衰竭仍然是穷人。死亡率为27.5%,高出3倍以上比年龄,sex-matched病人。结论:尽管心脏病的发病率在过去的失败有所下降十年中,已经导致了一个温和的生存收益提高患者生活的数量心力衰竭。心力衰竭的治疗和管理将变得越来越重要的大小吗医疗保险人口的增长。

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