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Do Imports and Exports Adjust Nonlinearly? Evidence from 100 Countries

机译:导入和导出非线性调整吗?来自100个国家的证据

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摘要

A country is said to live within its international budget constraint if its exports and imports are cointegrated. Previous studies that tried to verify the cointegration between exports and imports used linear models and supported the theory in almost 50% of countries. In this paper, when we use the nonlinear ARDL approach and asymmetry cointegration method, we support the long-run link between imports and exports in 94 out of 100 countries in our sample. This study is not only the most comprehensive study in the literature, but it is also the first to show that, indeed, trade flows adjust in a nonlinear fashion.
机译:一个国家对生活在其国际说如果它的出口和进口是预算约束共合体。验证和出口之间的协整进口使用线性模型和支持在近50%的国家理论。当我们使用非线性ARDL方法不对称协整方法,我们支持在94年长期进口和出口之间的联系100个国家在我们的样例。不仅是最全面的研究文学,但它也是第一个节目事实上,贸易流动非线性调整时尚。

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