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首页> 外文期刊>The Australian journal of rural health >Population, projections and rural heath
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Population, projections and rural heath

机译：农村人口预测和健康

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On 26th November the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) published its population projections from the base year 2012 to 2101.Perhaps they chose this date to stall those mind-numbing conversations about when a new century begins. The ABS presented three scenarios for low, medium and high growth based on different assumptions about fertility, life expectancy and migration all of which are subject to a range of human, social, economic and environmental uncertainties.The ABS headlines were based on the medium growth scenario (projection B). By 2040, when the current cohorts of health students are in mid-career, Perth will have overtaken Brisbane in the population stakes with 3 million people and the Australian Capital Territory will have more people than Tasmania unless Treasurer Joe Hockey is more successful than his predecessors in cutting the public service. In 2053 Melbourne and Sydney will have 7.9 million people each if the projection holds.
机译：11月26日澳大利亚统计局人口统计数据(ABS)公布了2012年预测的基础2101.麻木的关于当一个新的对话世纪就开始了。低、中、高速增长的基础上不同的假设生育,生活预期寿命和迁移都是主题各种人类、社会、经济和环境的不确定性。是基于中增长的场景吗(投影B)。到2040年,当当前军团健康的学生在职业生涯中期,珀斯已经超过人口股份布里斯班吗和澳大利亚首都有300万人比塔斯马尼亚地区会有更多的人除非司库乔曲棍球更成功比他的前任在削减公众服务。790万人每如果投影。

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