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Plan B if Venezuela export falters

机译:B计划如果委内瑞拉出口受阻

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摘要

Venezuela's economy is widely believed to be on the brink of collapse, and some market watchers wonder what the impact on US Gulf Coast (USGC) refiners would be if shipments of the country's extra-heavy crude were to dry up. At present, Venezuela ships about 760K b/d of heavy crude to the region, making up about 37 of its heavy crude imports. Additionally, Venezuela's heavy oil is the cheapest crude that USGC refiners can buy, at about a $10-12/bbl discount to Brent. If Venezuelan crude production were to go offline, sources said, refiners might need to look to alternatives for a comparable replacement. Unfortunately, Canadian producers are already supplying all the crude they can to the Gulf Coast—at least for the time being—while Mexican supplies are constrained by falling production, particularly from the offshore Cantarell field. Brazil is also struggling to maintain output due to low international prices. Further afield, Saudi crude comes with strings attached in the form of term requirements, while Iranian crude is still illegal in the US.
机译:委内瑞拉的经济被广泛认为是崩溃的边缘,和一些市场观察人士不知道对我们的影响墨西哥湾(USGC)炼油商如果国家的出口高强度的原油枯竭。委内瑞拉船约760 k b / d的重质原油该地区,占大约37%的重原油进口。石油是最便宜的原油USGC炼油厂买,布伦特原油每桶10 - 12美元的折扣。委内瑞拉原油产量离线,消息人士表示,炼油企业可能需要看选择一个替代进行比较。不幸的是,加拿大生产商已经提供所有的原油海湾沿海地区至少在一段时间内做的时候,墨西哥人供应受制于产量下降,尤其是来自离岸Cantarell字段。巴西也在努力保持输出国际价格低。沙特原油带有附加条件的形式的需求,而伊朗原油仍然在美国非法。

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