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Regional disparities in impacts of climate extremes require targeted adaptation of Fairtrade supply chains

机译:极端气候影响的区域差异要求有针对性地调整公平贸易供应链

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摘要

Supply chains of agricultural commodities, such as banana, cocoa, coffee, and tea, are vulnerable to climate change. Their ability to adapt depends on assessments of climate change impacts on producing regions. Such assessments are, however, missing despite available climate projections. Here, we analyze how drought, heat stress, and heavy precipitation could affect over 1.6 million producers within the Fairtrade supply chain by 2050 by using projections from general circulation models. Globally, Fairtrade producers will mainly be subject to increased heat stress. Drought might present particular pressures on Brazilian and Central American coffee producers and on tea producers in southeastern Africa. Heavy precipitation might become more common for producers of cocoa and coffee in the Andes, coffee producers in East Africa, and tea producers in South Asia. Our approach enables the identification of how sensitive different regions are to climate change, allowing for timely adaptation. This is crucial for continued commodity supply and sustainability of farmers' livelihoods.
机译:农产品供应链,如香蕉、可可、咖啡和茶,很容易气候变化。评估气候变化的影响生产区域。失踪尽管气候预测。在这里,我们分析干旱、热应力、和强降水可能影响超过160万在公平贸易供应链的制造商2050通过使用预测循环模型。将主要受到热应力增加。干旱可能存在特殊的压力巴西和中美洲咖啡生产商和茶生产商在非洲东南部。沉重的降水可能会变得更加普遍可可和咖啡生产商在安第斯山脉,咖啡生产商在东非,茶生产者在南亚。不同地区的敏感程度的识别是气候变化,允许及时适应。商品供给和农民的可持续性生计。

著录项

  • 来源
    《One Earth》 |2022年第8期|917-931|共15页
  • 作者单位

    Department of Environmental Geography, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1111, 1081 HV Amsterdam, the Netherlands;

    Global Impact Team, Fairtrade International, Bonner Talweg 177, 53129 Bonn, Germany;

    School of Agricultural, Forest and Food Sciences, Bern University of Applied Sciences BFH, Langgasse 85, Zollikofen, Bern 3052, Switzerland;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 英语
  • 中图分类 环境科学、安全科学;
  • 关键词

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