Land-Use microsimulation model for livelihood diversification after the 2010 Merapi volcano eruptions

Garcia-Fry Martin; Murao Osamu; Bachri SyamsulMoya Luis A.

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Land-Use microsimulation model for livelihood diversification after the 2010 Merapi volcano eruptions

机译：Land-Use microsimulation model for livelihood diversification after the 2010 Merapi volcano eruptions

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The 2010 Merapi Volcano eruptions caused significant damage in the Sleman Regency of Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Several households (HHs) were relocated to safely designated areas, but to sustain their livelihoods they have to travel back to their farmlands or change their identities as farmers. This study evaluates post-disaster mobility, aiming to clarify whether a land-use network with distributed livelihood options can complement rural labor in a recovery scenario. We collected sociodemographic and travel routine data in the affected areas. Then, the operational land use and transport microsimulation (OLUTM) model was performed to forecast a future scenario and gauge livelihood changes. Middle-aged farmers with upper median incomes and risk-taking behaviors were found to venture home businesses that contribute to rural labor. A 63% share of livelihoods diversified by farmers and 30% travel utility savings rendered a robust microsimulation system.

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《Transportation research, Part D. Transport and environment》 |2022年第3期|103189.1-103189.20|共20页
作者
Garcia-Fry Martin; Murao Osamu; Bachri SyamsulMoya Luis A.;
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作者单位

Tohoku Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Dept Architecture & Bldg Sci, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan;

Tohoku Univ, Int Res Inst Disaster Sci, Aoba Ku, 468-1 Aramaki Aza, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan;

State Univ Malang, Fac Social Sci, Dept Geog, Jl Semarang 5, Malang 65145, IndonesiaNatl Univ Engn, Japan Peru Ctr Earthquake Engn Res & Disaster Mit, Tupac Amaru Ave 1150, Lima, Peru;

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正文语种英语
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关键词
Recovery; Mobility; Accessibility; Rural Studies; Peri-Urban Networks;

Land-Use microsimulation model for livelihood diversification after the 2010 Merapi volcano eruptions

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