• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>Transportation research, Part D. Transport and environment >Fast-moving dire wildfire evacuation simulation
【24h】

Fast-moving dire wildfire evacuation simulation

机译：Fast-moving dire wildfire evacuation simulation

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相关主题

摘要

Extreme wildfire events are fires that move too fast or erratically for adequate evacuation or notification. Modeling evacuations from these wildfires is markedly different than modeling disasters with slower or more predictable movements. There is a gap in our knowledge of human evacuation behavior under these conditions. In this paper, we develop an agent-based simulation model (ABM) of the 2018 Camp Fire evacuation in Northern California, an extreme wildfire evacuation. We use a post-disaster survey and decision tree methods to model agent movements, empirically grounding evacuee behavior. We explore individual scenarios inspired by the Camp Fire, simulating limited smartphone access, delays in awareness time, and reduced vehicle access. We then combine these to produce "worst case" critical scenarios. Our results show that longer evacuation travel times are associated with reduced smartphone use, increased delays in awareness, and reduced vehicle access. More agents are trapped with awareness delays and limited vehicles.

著录项

获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号