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Unravelling the pastoralist paradox – preferences for land tenure security and flexibility in Kenya

机译:Unravelling the pastoralist paradox – preferences for land tenure security and flexibility in Kenya

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摘要

In this paper, we use a discrete choice experiment conducted among pastoralists in four differentsemi-arid counties in Kenya characterized by different land tenure regimes to analyzehow pastoralists make tradeoffs between tenure security and grazing flexibility – the so-calledpastoralist paradox. Results show that there is one group of respondents who are desperatefor change and seem to prefer either group or private title deeds to their current situation.A second, smaller group has strong preferences for the status quo, which could be driven bytheir relatively short migration distances. Concerning index-based livestock insurance, thebasis risk suffered by insured pastoralists due to underprediction is high, but willingness topay (WTP) for livestock insurance should still be high enough to ensure maximum uptake,leaving current low uptakes hard to explain. The worry about climate change is high but doesnot translate into increased WTP for more secure tenure or formal livestock insurance.

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