Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands: economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management

Deo Anil; Chand Savin S.; McIntosh R. DuncanPrakash BipenHolbrook Neil J.Magee AndrewHaruhiru AlickMalsale Philip

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Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands: economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management

机译：Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands: economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management

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Tropical cyclones (TCs) are amongst the costliest natural hazards for southwest Pacific (SWP) Island nations. Extreme winds coupled with heavy rainfall and related coastal hazards, such as large waves and high seas, can have devastating consequences for life and property. Effects of anthropogenic climate change are likely to make TCs even more destructive in the SWP (as that observed particularly over Fiji) and elsewhere around the globe, yet TCs may occur less often. However, the underpinning science of quantifying future TC projections amid multiple uncertainties can be complex. The challenge for scientists is how to turn such technical knowledge framed around uncertainties into tangible products to inform decision-making in the disaster risk management (DRM) and disaster risk reduction (DRR) sector. Drawing on experiences from past TC events as analogies to what may happen in a warming climate can be useful. The role of science-based climate services tailored to the needs of the DRM and DRR sector is critical in this context. In the first part of this paper, we examine cases of historically severe TCs in the SWP and quantify their socio-economic impacts. The second part of this paper discusses a decision-support framework developed in collaboration with a number of agencies in the SWP, featuring science-based climate services that inform different stages of planning in national-level risk management strategies.

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来源
《Climatic Change》 |2022年第4期|共23页
作者
Deo Anil; Chand Savin S.; McIntosh R. DuncanPrakash BipenHolbrook Neil J.Magee AndrewHaruhiru AlickMalsale Philip;
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作者单位

Federat Univ Australia;

Pacific Reg Environm Programme;

Fiji Meteorol ServUniv TasmaniaUniv NewcastleSolomon Isl Meteorol Serv;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种英语
中图分类大气科学（气象学）;
关键词
Tropical cyclones; Economic loss; Disaster risk management; Pacific Island Countries; EL-NINO; FREQUENCY; PERSPECTIVE; ADAPTATION; SLOWDOWN; DAMAGES; EVENTS;

Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands: economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management

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