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首页> 外文期刊>Environment and development economics >Migration response to drought in Mali. An analysis using panel data on Malian localities over the 1987-2009 period
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Migration response to drought in Mali. An analysis using panel data on Malian localities over the 1987-2009 period

机译：Migration response to drought in Mali. An analysis using panel data on Malian localities over the 1987-2009 period

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This paper combines population and climate data to estimate the volume of migrationinduced by the drought events that have hit Mali since the late 1980s. The results show thatdroughts have had the effect of decreasing net migration rates in the affected localities. Thisis true for both men and women, regardless of their age. The effect of drought episodes,however, is found to differ according to localities and households’ capacity to adapt toclimatic constraints: it fades in localities characterized by more diversified crops and in areasthat receive more rainfall on average. Climate shocks also had an impact on internationalmobility: over the 2004–2009 period, around 2300 additional departures per year can beattributed to the droughts that hit Mali during the 2000s. We forecast that, under differentclimate scenarios and population growth projections, mobility induced by drought eventswill substantially grow in the next decades.

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