首页> 外文期刊>International journal of critical infrastructure >Prediction of COVID-19 spread in world using pandemic dataset with application of auto ARIMA and SIR models
【24h】

Prediction of COVID-19 spread in world using pandemic dataset with application of auto ARIMA and SIR models

机译:Prediction of COVID-19 spread in world using pandemic dataset with application of auto ARIMA and SIR models

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           

摘要

COVID-19 has now become the world's highly infectious disease because of the high transmission capability of the coronavirus. This virus has also deeply impacted the global economy. The world situation needs better predication analysis for prevention and decision making. Since then, researchers all over the world are making attempts to predict the likely progression of this pandemic using various mathematical models. The aim of this analysis is to use auto ARIMA model to predict the spread of coronavirus in the world in the next 100 days. We also determine when new confirmed cases, death cases and recovery of COVID-19 would stabilise in top five of the most affected countries. The results obtained from auto ARIMA are then compared with those obtained by applying susceptible infected removed (SIR) model. The comparison of the analytical results and the available results shows that the proposed methods are accurate within a specific range and will prove to be useful for healthcare leaders and decision-makers in near future. The forecasted results suggest the strong need of prevention and environmental measures to be taken rapidly in order to fight with COVID-19.

著录项

获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号