AbstractBased on cyclic load tests of large‐scale reinforced concrete elements and assemblages, a probabilistic model of member failure is developed. The model gives the probability of survival at timetas a functional of damage ratio and dissipated energy up tot. After extension to multivariate survival of several members with correlated resistance, the model is used to calculate the safety of reinforced concrete frames subjected to given input motions. Results are in terms of the probability of local failure and of no failure anywhere in the syste
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