Estimation of parameters in the drift and diffusion terms of stochastic differential equations involves simulation and generally requires substantial data sets. We examine a method that can be applied when available time series are limited to less than 20 observations per realisation. We compare and contrast parameter estimation for linear and nonlinear first-order stochastic differential equations using two criterion functions: one based on a Chi-square statistic. put forward by Hurn and Lindsay (1997), and one based on the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic. The estimates generated reflect the true parameter values well for all models. examined, especially when using the Kolmogorov-smirnov criterion function.
展开▼