Economic analyses of sea-level rise adaptation strategies in transportation considering spatial autocorrelation

Qing-Chang Lu; Zhong-Ren Peng; Liye ZhangZhanyong Wang

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Economic analyses of sea-level rise adaptation strategies in transportation considering spatial autocorrelation

机译：Economic analyses of sea-level rise adaptation strategies in transportation considering spatial autocorrelation

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This paper reports the impacts of economic analysis results on sea-level rise adaptation decision making with different economic analysis methods. The methodology was applied to Hillsborough County, Florida. A general conclusion is that partial shoreline protection should be implemented to reduce the potential impacts of sea-level rise on important land use, then transportation infrastructure is preferred to be protected or accommodated, and finally managed relocation should be adopted. More specifically, the results show that the best adaptation strategy is shoreline protection plus transportation infrastructure accommodation; the length of shoreline protection plays an important role in the economic analysis results, and shoreline protection and accommodation adaptation strategies for all areas are not recommended because of either high costs or low benefits; the value of travel time saving and spatial autocorrelation play important roles in the economic analysis results of accommodation strategy, which highlights the importance of including indirect economic factors and spatial autocorrelation impacts when making sea-level rise adaptation decisions.

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《Transportation research, Part D. Transport and environment》 |2014年第12期|87-94|共8页
作者
Qing-Chang Lu; Zhong-Ren Peng; Liye ZhangZhanyong Wang;
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作者单位

Department of Transportation and Shipping, School of Naval Architecture, Oceanic & Civil Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, No. 800 Dongchuan Rd., Shanghai 200240, China;

Department of Transportation and Shipping, School of Naval Architecture, Oceanic & Civil Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, No. 800 Dongchuan Rd., Shanghai 200240, China,Department of Urban and Regional Planning, College of Design, Construction a;

School of Transportation Engineering, Changsha University of Science & Technology, Changsha 410004, China;

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正文语种英语
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Climate change; Sea-level rise; Economic analysis; Adaptation strategy; Spatial autocorrelation;

Economic analyses of sea-level rise adaptation strategies in transportation considering spatial autocorrelation

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