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Supply Analysis

机译:供应分析

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摘要

World supply of aluminium remains unbalanced and in surplus. But, producers have made significant in roads into rebalancing the market and catching up to the drastically reduced demand situation. It is now apparent that the bulk of the capacity curtailments have come from Western and Eastern European, North America and African smelters. With Asia excl. China, China, the Middle East and Latin America largely producing at the same rate they were in 2008. China, as always, remains a linchpin in the market. MBR believes that the recent capacity restarts there will ultimately have a negative effect on the global supply demand balance, but it is likely that Chinese producers will limit future capacity restarts as the SHFE price heasd for a correction.
机译:世界铝供应仍然不平衡且过剩。但是,生产商在重新平衡市场和赶上需求量急剧下降的道路上取得了重大进展。现在很明显,大部分产能削减来自西欧和东欧,北美和非洲的冶炼厂。不含亚洲地区。中国,中国,中东和拉丁美洲的产量基本与2008年相同。中国一如既往地仍然是市场的关键。 MBR认为,那里近期的产能重启最终将对全球供应需求平衡产生负面影响,但是随着上海期货交易所价格的回调,中国生产商可能会限制未来的产能重启。

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