Counterfactuals and Policy Analysis in Structural Models

机译：结构模型中的反事实与政策分析

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摘要

Evaluation of counterfactual queries (e.g., 'If A were true, would C have beentrue.') is important to fault diagnosis, planning, determination of liability, and policy analysis. We present a method for evaluating counter-factuals when the underlying causal model is represented by structural models a nonlinear generalization of the simultaneous equations models commonly used in econometrics and social sciences. This new method provides a coherent means for evaluating policies involving the control of variables which, prior to enacting the policy were influenced by other variables in the system.

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作者
Balke, A. A.; Pearl, J.;
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年度 1995
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总页数 9
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类工业技术;
关键词
Models; Structural properties; Control; Policies; Variables; Diagnosis(General); Econometrics; Faults; Social sciences; Simultaneous equations;

机译：模型;结构属性;控制;政策;变量;诊断（一般）;计量经济学;缺陷;社会科学;联立方程;

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4. Counterfactuals and Policy Analysis in Structural Models [C] . Alexander Balke, Judea Pearl Uncertainty in artificial intelligence . 1995

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7. Are policy counterfactuals based on structural VAR's reliable? [O] . Benati Luca 2010

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Counterfactuals and Policy Analysis in Structural Models

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