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Duel between an ASAT (Anti-Satellite) with Multiple Kill Vehicles and a Space-Based Weapons Platform with Kinetic Energy Weapons

机译:具有多个杀伤车辆的asaT(反卫星)和具有动能武器的天基武器平台之间的决斗

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A mathematical model is described for a duel between a ground-based anti-satellite (ASAT) and a space-based weapons platform defending itself with kinetic energy weapons. The ASAT carries one to six kill vehicles and the space platform may first attack the ASAT booster with one to three defense missiles. If the ASAT kill vehicles collectively survive the boost phase, they are each subject to a post-boost phase attack consisting of one to three defense missiles. A formula for the probability of killing the space platform with a single ASAT launch is derived as a function of the vehicle reliabilities, target detection probabilities, kill probabilities, and number of participating vehicles. Formulas are also given for the probability of kill if the space platform defends itself with a high-energy laser or with both high-energy laser and defense missiles. Illustrative examples are calculated for the case in which the space platform is defended by defense missiles only. It is assumed that all offense and defense reliabilities, detection probabilities, and kill probabilities are equal to 0.90. A sensitivity analysis illustrates the effect of a variation in any one of the assumed parameters on the probability of killing the space platform when all other parameters are held equal to 0.90.

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