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首页> 美国政府科技报告 >An Empirical Higher-Rank Analysis Model of the Age Distribution of Fertility.
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An Empirical Higher-Rank Analysis Model of the Age Distribution of Fertility.

机译：生育年龄分布的经验高阶分析模型。

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Empirical higher-rank (EHR) analysis of a 185-single-year sequence of Swedish age-specific overall fertility rates, and of a related 68-single-year marital fertility sequence, develops a time series model of the changing age distribution of births in cross-sectional and cohort perspectives. The procedure combines the data-guiding and flexibility of Tukey's exploratory data analysis (EDA) approach with robust/resistant methods of estimation to detect unifying patterns underlying the diverse distributions of fertility. the centrality of examination of residuals, in achieving optimal fits to the data, in detecting singular departures from fit, and in interpretation of the fitted descriptions, is emphasized. Techniques, new in their detailed application to demographic data, are described in some detail. (Author)

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