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首页> 美国政府科技报告 >Developing an Aggregate Marginal Cost Per Flying Hour Model for the U.S. Air Force's F-15 Fighter Aircraft
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Developing an Aggregate Marginal Cost Per Flying Hour Model for the U.S. Air Force's F-15 Fighter Aircraft

机译：为美国空军的F-15战斗机制定每飞行小时模型的总边际成本

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This thesis applies econometric techniques to build a 'marginal' cost per flying hour model for the U.S. Air Force's F-15CD and E fleets. It used monthly economic, programmatic, operational, and climatology data from FY01-FY04 to construct Depot Level Reparable (DLR) and Consumable (CONS) models on the aggregate level. It incorporated the use of panel data analysis to explore the effect each of the independent variables had on the CPFH rate by time and by base. This allowed it to capture not only the temporal (time) interactions, but also the spatial (cross-sectional) interactions, providing a more robust analysis of the dynamics between the independent variables, bases, time and the CPFH rates. It discovered the DLR and CONS CPFH rates have a significant business cycle/seasonal trend component. Also, the following variables were found to be statistically and economically significant: average sortie duration, mean monthly temperature difference, and the Zero Base Transfer CPFH program change. These models when compared to the currently available models significantly out performed these models. On average, the relative error rate for this research's models was half that of the current models. Therefore, an aggregate CPFH model can be developed to accurately forecast the CPFH rates.

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