• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 美国政府科技报告 >Development and Implementation of a Statistical Typoon Intensity Prediction Scheme for the Western North Pacific
【24h】

Development and Implementation of a Statistical Typoon Intensity Prediction Scheme for the Western North Pacific

机译：西北太平洋统计拼版强度预测方案的开发与实施

获取原文
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

The primary objective of this project was to create and implement a 5-day Statistical Typhoon Intensity Prediction Scheme (STIPS) into the operational suite of products available to JTWC. The development of such a scheme builds on the success of the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) developed for the Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific and used by the National Hurricane Center (DeMaria and Kaplan 1999). In the process of developing STIPS, a comprehensive statistical analysis is performed which identifies the physical processes associated with tropical cyclone intensification in this basin along with their relative importance. The resulting statistical scheme, STIPS produces tropical cyclone intensity forecasts along a specified forecast track. The STIPS model also has a companion formulation Decay-STiPS which factors in the effect of interaction with land and decays the forecasted intensity accordingly. A secondary objective was the development of simple 5-day statistical typhoon intensity forecast (STIFOR-5D) model which is based upon climatology and persistence (CLIPER). The development of this simple model was necessitated by the operational requirement to verify forecasts.

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号