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Marginal Production Cost of Electricity to 1990: Forecasting Based on Recent Cost Trends for Coal and Nuclear Units

机译:1990年电力边际生产成本:基于煤炭和核电装置近期成本趋势的预测

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Statistical relationships developed from recent historical data were used to estimate future busbar electricity costs based on the future production costs for electricity generated by typical coal and nuclear units. In contrast to many studies of coal and nuclear generating costs (Bergstrom and Brandfon, 1979 and Davis, 1980), this study utilizes actual cross sectional data to develop cost estimates, rather than developing cost estimates for a generic unit. The cost impacts of flue gas desulfurization (FGD) scrubbers in coal units and cooling towers in nuclear units were included, both of which have seen increasing use in recent years because of environmental regulations. In addition, a sensitivity analysis was performed to examine the impacts of changes in capacity factors, carrying charges and fuel prices on the relative costs of coal and nuclear generated electricity. (ERA citation 06:034958)

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