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Further Evidence on the Determinants of Residential Succession: An Analysis Using Census Tract Data from the Los Angeles-Long Beach Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area (SMSA)

机译:关于住宅继承决定因素的进一步证据:利用洛杉矶 - 长滩标准大都市统计区(smsa)的人口普查数据进行分析

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Census tract data from the Los Angeles - Long Beach Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area were used to assess a theory regarding residential succession. Upward succession was defined as a situation in which the households moving into a neighborhood have higher incomes than those moving out; downward succession, as a converse situation. The theory considered the housing vintage, racial homogeneity or heterogeneity, racial and income characteristics of adjacent neighborhoods, and extent of community organization as crucial variables affecting succession. In addition, housing vintage effects were allowed to have opposite affects on residential succession depending on whether upward or downward succession was taking place. The empirical results gave little support to the theory. The regression results were similar to those found by others and explained only a small percentage of the variance in the dependent variable. When data were aggregated by census tract, vintage effects dominated and the presence of older housing units increased downward succession. Results under an alternative specification of the effects of adjacent neighborhoods failed to suggest such effects in the residential succession process. Findings indicated the existence of empirical problems associated with the use of aggregate census tract data and therefore did not disprove the theory. Observation of individual household behavior has indicated the presence of the effects of vintage, race, and adjacent neighborhoods on succession. Tables, a list of 24 references, and an apppendix presenting national data on migration are included. (Author abstract modified).

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