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Modeling Forest Change and Management Alternatives on a Restored Landscape: Future Climate Affects Management Strategies for Maintaining Forest Restoration Treatments

机译:改变未来恢复的森林管理替代方案:未来气候影响维持森林恢复治理的管理策略

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Maintenance of forest treatments is a critical issue for forest management because millions of ha of forests adapted to frequent-fire regimes are being treated or proposed for treatment to reduce fuel hazards and restore ecosystem processes. We modeled forest change for 100 years on actual restored and control ponderosa pine forest landscapes in the southwestern USA, comparing alternative management regimes that included prescribed burning, tree cutting, and mo-management. We applied the Forest Vegetation Simulator, a widely used model, both in its standard form and with modifications to simulate the effects of two levels of predicted climate change causing reduced tree growth and increased mortality. Climate change effects had the greatest influence on the future Forest. Under an scenario, the no-management alternatives led to the highest forest density after 100 years.

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